Originally
posted by
Tigress:
@BROmanceNZ
It's nice that you slice and dice the numbers, I have been doing data analysis for over 20 year and recognize a snow job when I see it.
i.e.
Originally
posted by
BROmanceNZ:
That means that China accounts for 50% of rampage killings in their region and the US accounts for 70% of rampage killings in yours. Never mind the fact that having China, a country known for human rights violations and poor freedoms/liberties, as your closest example is less than ideal.
I have done similar things with data when it comes to dog and pony shows for executive review board meetings and everything had to look just right. Sales are up in 70% of the territories lets not mention the other 30% that are costing the company millions of dollars. Sales are up great job everyone... so on and so forth. However when dealing with operational managers they want the raw truth of what the data says. You try to pull what you just did there on an ops manager and they would hand you your ass and a swift kick out the door. While factually true your statement is shoehorned to fit the narrative you want to project. It is simply categorized and reshaped to fit the perception of a larger problem.
But I've not been coy or elusive with the data; stating that the US is responsible for 70% of the Rampage Killings listed by Wikipedia itself doesn't hide the fact that there are still 30% that take place outside of the US in the same region. Just because you don't like the statistic doesn't justify the story that data tells. Especially when it's "evidence" you put forward yourself.
While I appreciate that you have two decades worth of experience in what appears to be sales data analysis, analysing data related to public policy and social issues is a much different kettle of fish. Data is data, sure, but my career has been built around providing public policy advice to both governments, corporates and non-profits. Unlike you, I can't answer a demand for a policy that "Seeks to reduce the harm caused by firearms" by saying "Well, if you look at rampage killings, gun violence isn't so bad. Vehicle and arson are waaaay worse." and then give stakeholders a Wikipedia link. The people I work for wouldn't throw you out; they'd spend the next hour or so in a meeting ripping you to shreds in front of a committee for wasting their time. Then they'd walk out on you and you'd never work for anyone again.
That's way worse than being fired.
But let's look at your points then, all of which seem to suggest that gun deaths are not worth worrying about because other things kill people too - and, allegedly, in larger numbers, more frequently, and that humans have been killing each other since the beginning of time (lol).
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
other points of data you are omitting
Arson and vehicles kill much larger numbers per incident.
The problem with trying to compare arson rampage killings with mass shootings is that not all arsonists intend to commit murder.
If you look at the top three US examples of arson incidents included in the rampage killings list here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/.../List_of_rampage_killers_(other_incidents), you get:
1. The Hartford Circus fire 1944 where a suspect confessed to causing the fire but later recanted; no express confession to commit murder
2. Our Lady of the Angels School fire 1958 where a fifth-grade suspect confessed but also recanted; again, no express confession to commit murder
3. Happy Land fire 1990 where the offender was found guilty of arson and murder after admitting to starting the blaze
So we're looking at two out of three arson incidents not clearly showing an intent to commit murder, the deadlier two occurring more than 50 years ago, and the one murder conviction of the three was for a convicted who was said to have been fired from their job earlier, had just broken up with their girlfriend, had been drunk and then thrown out of the bar in which he later returned to and set on fire.
According to this Cummings Law page (
https://www.cummingslawfirm.com/...operty-Crimes/Arson.shtml), whether a death occurs as a result of arson intentionally or unintentionally, a life sentence is always a possibility when a death occurs.
In any case, rampage killings (other incidents) only accounts for 112 cases, and those cases are worldwide incidents. If you really want to single out arson as a cause to compare it with shooting incidents, arson accounts for 51 of "other incidents" and US-based arson account for 12 of those 51.
Vehicular rampage killings total 50 worldwide, the US accounting for 8 of those. The highest death count was 11 for the US (21 in China), and the total number of vehicular rampage killings in the US is 45 - from 1980 until now.
The only statistics out of these categories that comes close to beating statistics related to gun violence is "total deaths", which arson ties with the Oklahoma bombing.
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
Melee weapons has also yielded a higher death toll then the biggest shooting spree on record.
Which incident are you referring to? The 109 deaths by Jin Ruchao in China are mostly bombing deaths. The 67 killed in Sinasa, Philippines are also listed as Poison due to the incident being committed by a cult leader in a Jonestown style murder. Even the deadliest school massacre, by Andrew Philip Kehoe, used bombs and firearms as well as melee weapons.
Not entirely sure where you're pulling this claim from.
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
Explosive, can be used as a ranged weapon, i.e make a phone call from across town heck you can call it in from New Zealand two weeks later. the Uni-bomber went almost 20 years mailing bombs at random.
Granted, America has had a significant number of bombing incidents in the past century, however if you look at accounts of terrorism since 2000 (only because I can't find a list of straight bomb threats/attacks in the US), most attacks are committed as shootings now.
Think about right now; if you made your mind up that you were going to go and bomb some place to kill a large group of people, just how well prepared are you now to both source the materials and create that bomb? How technical would it be? Could you rig up a cellphone-linked detonator to it?
If your answer is to say "I'd Google it" then lol. It would be far easier and faster to obtain a firearm without so much as alerting anyone to your intentions.
Bombings are a danger of course, but they're not as easy and as quick to make as you seem to suggest they are (unless you're some hillbilly taping a bunch of dynamite sticks together or whatever).
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
guns are a fairly recent invention, would you care to point out any point in history prior to the gun's invention where due to no guns being available men and women were not killing each other?
The "People have been killing people since time immemorial" excuse is a lazy cop out; you're essentially saying that people killed by firearms were just destined to die and that there's nothing you or anyone could have done to stop them.
Actual bullfluff.
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
What i'm saying is the root cause has zilch/nada to do with guns. those who choose to kill whether its one person or millions of people will do so with whatever resources the have. pragmatism...try it !!!
I've literally been asking you to think pragmatically for ages now. Remember:
"What's more practical for successfully murdering the most people you can: a bomb, a knife or a gun?"
What you're missing in your logic is that guns are of absolute equal availability, ease of use, risk of interference, and practicality as all other causes of death. That you haven't considered that a knife is too risky to use because of the close proximity you have to have with your targets (as well as the risk of being overpowered by someone bigger, stronger or more technically adept at physical combat than you are), that a bomb has far more steps than just "Buy gun, load gun, shoot people", or that a car attack literally has instantly diminishing returns as most don't turn out like Carmageddon where you can keep mowing people down as you drive from one end of a state to the other, all indicates that while you might understand how to read numbers, you don't really understand how to compare complex data sets with varying impacts and assumptions to be made.
You are right, however, in jumping to the conclusion: "Guns don't kill people, people kill people" - but that doesn't mean that people don't use guns to kill people and that, as far as the statistics we can see here, guns are killing people more frequently and in much larger average numbers than any of your other causes of death (that don't include death by natural causes, or accidental deaths e.g. car accidents).
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
The USA from its inception has had guns as a part of its culture, children were taught to respect firearms and how to take care of them just like a carpenter would take care of his tools. The gun was seen as a tool, and a part of daily life. All the way up til the mid-80s schools in some parts of the country allowed kids to bring their rifle to school. The kids would put the rifle on back wall of the classroom, or turn it in to the office. When school was out they would get their rifle, and go hunting with their friends before going home.
Question here is what changed? how did we go from openly allowing a kid to bring their rifle to school and feeling completely safe about this. To what we are seeing over the past 30 years or so. for over 200 years with guns in the hands of children using the firearm as it was intended to be used to kids now shooting up classrooms. It sure as hell is not the gun that changed, unless you want to argue oh the guns look meaner, and shoot faster and farther than they did many years ago. Perhaps it is a technological leap in firearms causing these kids to just lose their minds.
If you want to talk about change over time, consider that the 2nd Amendment was written in a time where its authors didn't have the knowledge and experience that we do now. Slavery was still near enough 100 years from being abolished. Women a century and a half from getting the vote.
These days, most nations have grown up. In law, we no longer keep slaves, we don't allow discrimination on the basis of sex, gender, or sexual orientation, we hold on to our religious beliefs but (with the exception of a tiny minority of extremists across the world) without resorting to the mass murder and torture of those who don't hold the same belief as us, and the quality of our democracy has increased in terms of representation and proportionality (no longer are governments just old, white men who own land).
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/...orlds-oldest-democracies/
The US is one of the worlds oldest modern democracies, often viewed as being *the* oldest depending on your definition. If you can't figure out how to keep your democracy safe without hanging the threat of armed rebellion above the head of your government, are you any better than those Middle Eastern countries struggling to maintain their democracies in the face of rebellious groups seeking to topple the law and order the government is trying to represent?
Let's put this a different way:
Democracy is the rule of the people and if the majority of people vote for countrywide gun bans and tighter gun regulations, are you a patriot minority for denying to comply with the law and putting up armed resistance as the government carries out its policies? Are you a freedom fighter? Or are you now a domestic terrorist?
Would pro-2A people value democracy over the right to bear arms? Or is their right to own a weapon far greater than the value of democracy?
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
before saying it is guns and loopholes in the gun laws... please explain why it was not occurring for the 200 years prior to our current highly regulated era where every type of policy and legislation being thrown out there, does squat in curbing this issue. oh if we just had one more gun law it would slow this epidemic down. yet we already agreed this is but a sliver of the true overall problem. So, when do we get serious and really look at the overall problem and walk away from this minuscule sliver to truly deal with the underlying causes. There is a fairly clear delineation mark pre-columbine/post-columbine -- What changed???
There's no easy answer to this. Of course there's more to it than the sorts of problems that things like gun control laws deal with, but this is the equivalent of being on a boat with four holes that you can see are letting water into your hull - but you'd rather know how those holes were caused before plugging them up, all the while your boat takes on water and slowly gets worse and worse.
Its actually possible to plug the holes up, find out why the happened, and then put the boat on a course that reduces the holes happening again.
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
I see you want to talk suicide, let's start with suffocation as the number one method, followed by firearms. I would venture, drugs is probably the real number one killer, but so many are ruled as accidental overdose. Perhaps its just easier overall to say it was an accident than to call it a suicide, especially if there is the slightest chance of a doubt on calling it suicide.
You're missing the twice-made point about *guns* and *suicide*. If guns are harder to access, those contemplating suicide are less likely to succeed in killing themselves because they have more time to talk themselves down.
Literally, there is no grey area here. Reduce gun availability = less suicides.
Again, just because you're dealing with gun suicides through policy doesn't mean you can't also address root causes of depression and suicide, or work on reducing the rate of suicides by suffocation.
Originally
posted by
Tigress:
then again who the F**k cares how, the question is why? are you getting a feeling of the theme here. how is irrelevant the why is what actually matters regardless of how it was done the end result remains the same. if you can figure out the why then you are much closer to solving the issue. How is just an historical record of what factually occurred. It cannot be changed or taken back. All we can do with how is accept it for what it is. Asking why however and being honest about it yields answer like there was depression, a sense of isolation, mental issues, etc. you talk to the parents or first responder the do not ask how they can care less about how, what they want to know is why. they want answers that will solve the root causes of the issue.
https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/138/1/e20161420
Ignoring how people kill others in your search for a solution to reducing the number of people killing others is dangerously ignorant. As an opinion it's lazy, it's deflective, and it's devoid of any real value in a debate around reducing the harm that comes from firearms, solely because you know that it's a difficult thing to discuss if your end goal is not about the safety of other humans but to justify not liking gun control measures.